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Palladium vs. Gold

By Biiwii No one indicator should be considered in a vacuum, especially one that is the ratio of a substance that has unique supply/demand fundamentals (Palladium) vs. one that is stable (Gold).  But...

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3 Economists Walk Into a Bar…

By Biiwii It seems that this Bernanke Blog (it’s linked on the side bar at both websites, btw) thing is stirring up intellectuals and psychopaths alike as everyone seems to have an opinion on what I...

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Corporate Guidance Decelerates

By Biiwii Last week over at NFTRH.com we noted that GDP was lame, Corporate Profits were in decline and well, this was just not gonna be good for anyone.  It’s just plain bad chicken! That is my style...

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Looking for Your MoM?

By Biiwii From a subscriber who is a massive market and economic geek (I mean, seemingly insatiable in the things he digs up), comes this MoM change on various economic indicators.  This comes by way...

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Stan Druckenmiller Interview

By Biiwii Thanks to subscriber Marcus for forwarding this to me. Very nice interview.  I personally think he soft peddles the timing and intensity of the risk side of the risk vs. reward proposition....

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April Non Farm Payrolls ‘Mock Draft’

By Biiwii [edit]  Ha ha ha… Total non farm payrolls increased by 223,000 (full report @ BLS).  Unemployment 5.4%.  Close enough for government work.  What I see in the blurb below is just what we have...

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US Economy & Semi b2b

By NFTRH Excerpted from the May 24 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 344: US Economy – Semi b2b Amps Up its Trend A quick review for newer subscribers:  In Q1 2013 we noted that the...

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ISM Non Manufacturing

By Biiwii Here is the latest breakdown on the ISM Non Manufacturing report for May.  The US dollar had bounced on some good data and now it drops on tepid data.  The game of economic Whack-a-Mole,...

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Semi’s Updated

By Biiwii As we await the Semiconductor Equipment sector’s Book-to-Bill data for June, we observe that Semiconductor sector leadership (SOX-SPX) is still intact in the US stock market. This sector is...

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Is Japan’s Inflation Failing?

By Biiwii We begin with NFTRH.com’s post from July 16 noting the message I got from a former associate (from my previous life as a manufacturer)… “Just an update for you, some disturbing news has...

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State of the US Economy

By Biiwii Actually, this work is by Nick at FloatingPath, an excellent aggregator and illustrator of financial data.  Click the graphic for the full PDF from FloatingPath.com.  Very well done! The post...

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GPD +3.7%; Another Parallel to 2000

By Biiwii GDP +3.7%; Another Parallel to the Run Up to 2000 As we have been noting for months now, we are in the back end of the economic expansion, where growth in consumption of services is driving...

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“No Recession, But…”

By Biiwii Excerpted from the September 13 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 360… I am personally not yet convinced an ultimate bull market top is in despite the obvious similarities of the...

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Floating Path Updates Economic Data Charts

By Biiwii As I have noted before, I highly recommend that you econo-geeks put a bookmark on FloatingPath.com, because Nick puts pictures to the raw economic data usually delivering the day’s relevant...

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Playing Swami on Jobs

By Biiwii [edit] +142,000… (BLS release).  I’ll not give up my day job as a market manager.  They’d laugh me right out of the Sacred Society of Gurus.  Hey, at least the Squid was worse; I read a blurb...

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Post-Jobs; Gold-, Goldman+

By Biiwii I was out all morning and just got back to the huge ‘jobs’ festivities at +271,000 with USD springing upward and interest rates continuing an alignment that is very adversarial to gold (all...

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SEMI Book-to-Bill Ratio Decelerates as Expected…

By Biiwii As posted at NFTRH.com… SEMI Book-to-Bill Ratio Decelerates as Expected, Semis Not Under Valued I see analysis out there discussing the Semiconductor sector as a whole as being under valued...

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Armstrong 3+ Decades Late on Manufacturing

By Biiwii As you may know, certain things get stuck in my craw from time to time because I came from industry, not from the abstract world of stock markets, finance and Keynesian economics.  In short,...

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